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Do not asses insurance like an investment
By MUNGAI KIHANYA
The Sunday Nation
Nairobi,
25 September 2016
Mike Maingi wrote to lament about the low return levels that his insurer
is offering. “After struggling over the last 10 years to pay Sh5,000 per
month, they are saying that they will pay me just Sh675,000 when the
policy matures early next month. By my calculation, I have paid them
Sh600,000 so they are adding just Sh75,000 after 10 years. Is this fair,
really? Shouldn’t parliament deal with insurance companies the way it
did with banks?”
The first thing I to point out is that insurance is not investment,
therefore, it is wrong to assess the value of a policy in terms of its
earnings. Doing that would be akin to judging the proverbial fish on its
ability to climb a tree! When you buy insurance (or assurance, in the
case of a life policy), what you get is a promise to be compensated
should a calamity befall you.
Nevertheless, it would be interesting to find out what rate of return
this policy yielded. To do that, we start by working out the average
monthly balance over the entire 10-year period.
On the first month, Mike’s balance was Sh5,000; on second month it went
up to Sh10,000; then to Sh15,000 on the third month and so on up to the
120th month when it reached Sh600,000. To get the average, we add up all
these balances and the divide by 120. The answer is Sh302,500.
In other words, making Sh5,000 payments is equivalent to keeping
Sh302,500 in the policy for the 121 months. So the question becomes: If
you deposited Sh300,000 for 10 years and earned Sh75,000, what would be
the annualised rate of return? The answer is approximately 2.3 per cent
per annum.
As an investment, his is a very low rate of return. The fish certainly
cannot climb the tree! But we must not forget that when you buy
insurance, you are not investing! You are purchasing the assurance that,
should something bad happen to you during the term of the policy, you
will be compensated by the assured amount.
Any additional returns gained by the policy are a bonus. In fact,
insurance companies are always careful to call such earnings “bonuses”.
They don’t use terms like “interest” or “earnings” etc. because the want
to avoid being confused with investments.
Suppose that after Mike paid the first Sh5,000 in 2006, he got in
accident that left him permanently disabled. In that case, he would not
have been required to make any more payments. But still, on maturity, he
would have received the same Sh675,000.
Now imagine that: you “invest” Sh5,000, wait for ten years and get
Sh675,000. That’s an astronomical rate of return! It is 135 times the
initial payment and works out to an average of 63 per cent per year.
Even land in Kenya does not appreciate at such a rate…and, by the way,
where could you get a plot for Sh5,000 in 2006?
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