Why we say land prices appreciate
instead of inflate By MUNGAI KIHANYA
The Sunday Nation
Nairobi,
19 April 2015
Is there a difference between inflation and appreciation? This question
arises from the comment I made last week regarding the price of land: we
never talk about inflation when prices of land go up. Instead, we call
it appreciation.
The easiest way to understand it is that inflation applies to prices of
consumables and appreciation to the prices of assets. The reverse of
inflation is deflation while that of appreciation is depreciation.
Accountants like to depreciate the value of an asset to account for the
fact that, once purchased, it is no longer as good as a new one. If you
buy a brand new car from the showroom today (not a used import!), there
is a good chance that the moment you finish signing the purchase
agreement, its value will drop by 10 per cent!
This is the amount you are likely
to pay for breach of contract if you change your mind.
Then the moment you drive it out of the showroom, you can knock off
another 10 per cent from the original buying price. The total so far is
20 per cent. In other words, if the car cost you Sh3,000,000, you are
now likely to get only Sh2.4m for it – Sh2.5m at best!
If that sounds bad, take the case of computers. Every five years, there
is a major shift in technology that renders many software programmes
obsolete. Consequently many people have to throw away theirs and buy new
ones. So, every year, the value of such software sheds 20 per cent of
the purchase price. In five years, it is worth zero shillings!
But about land: does it depreciate? There is a saying in my language
that “tiri ndugumaga”; that is, “soil does not rot”. I guess this is what
has made my tribesmen mad about land! Nevertheless, land can depreciate
depending on the type of title it has.
If you own land on a free-hold title, then it is yours for ever and
ever, amen. However, if it is lease-hold, then your ownership is only
for the period stipulated on the certificate. In most cases, it is for
99 years.
Thus if you pay Sh500,000 for a plot which has a 99-year lease starting
from, say 1965, you will only own it up to the year 2065. After that,
ownership will revert to the original holder – most likely, the county
or national government.
That is, you are buying ownership for 50 years only. Therefore, its true
value (what accountants call book value) depreciates by Sh10,000 every
year. The market value, however is a different kettle of fish.
It is unfortunate, though, that many people never look to find out the
period remaining on the lease of the plot they are buying. They assume
it is theirs for ever and so they are willing to pay premium prices for
it.
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