31 Days are more than enough to register 3.5 million voters

By MUNGAI KIHANYA

The Sunday Nation

Nairobi,

20 August 2006

 

The annual voter registration exercise started this week and it will run for 31 days, from August 15 to September 14 (both days included). There are an estimated five million individuals over 18 years of age who are not in the electors’ roll. Of these, 3.5 million have the documents necessary for registration (either national ID card or Passport).

20,000 registration centres have been opened countrywide to facilitate the exercise. The Electoral Commission expects to enlist at most 800,000 new voters during this period. But gauging from previous years when only about half a million people turn up to register, this year’s target might not be met. That would be a shame; why, even the 800,000 target itself is too low!

800,000 people expected to register at 20,000 centres means that on average, each registration station will receive about 40 people only during the entire period. Since the exercise is going on for 31 days, it turns out that each centre can expect to enlist only one or two new voters every day! That’s right – 40 divided by 31 is about 1.3.

Now let’s turn the numbers around a little bit. Suppose that only one person visited each station every hour. That works out to 20,000 new registrations per hour countrywide. Since the offices are open for eight hours daily (from 8am to 5pm), it means that 160,000 people would be registered each day. And in only five days, the ECK’s 800,000 target would be reached!

Let us now extrapolate this: If the process continued with one voter registered per hour per station, how long would it take to enlist all the 3.5 million eligible and qualified individuals? The answer is simple: 3.5 million divided by 160,000 per day, equals 22 days.

But there is an argument that most people cannot make it to the registration centres on weekdays and therefore, there isn’t enough time for everyone to register. Is that valid? Well, suppose all the 3.5 million eligible and qualified individuals can only find time on Saturday or Sunday. There are four weekends during the registration period. That is eight free days.

437,500 (3.5 million divided by eight) would have to be registered each day countrywide if the exercise was only done on weekends. 437,500 sounds like a very large number…until you bear in mind that there are 20,000 centres. Working on Saturday and Sunday only, each centre would have to enlist only about 22 people per day!

Now suppose the registration clerk spend 20 minutes with each voter. How many would be registered in a day? Well, eight working hours are equal to 480 minutes. Therefore, the clerk would enlist 24 people in a day. That’s more than enough to net in the 3.5 million prospects. But is 20 minutes enough? Yes; it took me about ten minutes to register a few years ago.

The moral of the story? Don’t complain that the time is not enough – if you are not registered, take your calendar, pick a date and commit to visit a registration centre. Go ahead; prove that it takes more than a sticker on a car to demonstrate that you are proud to be Kenyan

 
     
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